Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.000190 0.000213 0.000237 0.000264 0.000295 0.000328 0.000367
2025-06-15 0.000157 0.000187 0.000221 0.000263 0.000312 0.000369 0.000438
2025-06-22 0.000132 0.000166 0.000207 0.000259 0.000325 0.000404 0.000506
2025-06-29 0.000116 0.000154 0.000200 0.000263 0.000345 0.000449 0.000589
2025-07-06 0.000103 0.000142 0.000193 0.000265 0.000362 0.000489 0.000668
2025-07-13 0.000091 0.000130 0.000184 0.000262 0.000372 0.000522 0.000740
2025-07-20 0.000084 0.000125 0.000183 0.000269 0.000395 0.000572 0.000838
2025-07-27 0.000076 0.000118 0.000178 0.000271 0.000411 0.000612 0.000925
2025-08-03 0.000070 0.000111 0.000173 0.000271 0.000424 0.000650 0.001011
2025-08-10 0.000063 0.000104 0.000166 0.000268 0.000431 0.000679 0.001084
2025-08-17 0.000059 0.000099 0.000163 0.000270 0.000445 0.000719 0.001178
2025-08-24 0.000054 0.000093 0.000157 0.000267 0.000452 0.000747 0.001254
2025-08-31 0.000049 0.000088 0.000152 0.000266 0.000461 0.000781 0.001344
2025-09-07 0.000046 0.000084 0.000149 0.000267 0.000474 0.000821 0.001447
2025-09-14 0.000042 0.000079 0.000144 0.000265 0.000481 0.000853 0.001538
2025-09-21 0.000040 0.000077 0.000143 0.000269 0.000501 0.000907 0.001671
2025-09-28 0.000037 0.000074 0.000141 0.000271 0.000515 0.000953 0.001793
2025-10-05 0.000035 0.000070 0.000137 0.000269 0.000522 0.000986 0.001893
2025-10-12 0.000033 0.000069 0.000137 0.000276 0.000547 0.001052 0.002059
2025-10-19 0.000031 0.000067 0.000135 0.000278 0.000562 0.001101 0.002197
2025-10-26 0.000030 0.000064 0.000133 0.000278 0.000574 0.001146 0.002329
2025-11-02 0.000027 0.000061 0.000129 0.000275 0.000579 0.001176 0.002435
2025-11-09 0.000026 0.000059 0.000127 0.000277 0.000593 0.001227 0.002584